Odds To Win Ncaa College Basketball Championship
Updated 2019 College Basketball Championship Odds – March 11th; Contenders You Shouldn’t Write Off from the 2019 NCAAB Championship Race; Updated 2019 NCAA Basketball Championship Odds – February 4th; Updated 2019 NCAA Basketball Championship Odds – January 14th Edition; Updated NCAA Basketball Championship Odds – November 30th Edition. In mid-February, college basketball odds certainly changed as Baylor passed Gonzaga to top the charts as the favorite to win the NCAA Tournament. As of February 18th, Baylor’s odds rose to +250 to win, while Gonzaga was a close second at +275.
College basketball futures tend to be even more unpredictable than futures in most other sports. You have a huge field of potential teams to start with. With just five starters and thirteen players in total on each team, there is potential there for one or two excellent players to overcome a team that has better talent overall. College basketball teams are also notoriously streaky with regards to shooting, so if a team gets hot or cold at the right time their fortunes can change on a dime. This is nowhere more apparent than the NCAA Tournament, where top teams often fall in the early rounds to smaller schools.
The table below lists the top teams according to the odds at BetOnline sportsbook.
Vegas Betting Favorites to Win the Final Four & 2021 NCAA Tournament
Here’s a look at the projected Final 4 and championship matchups and winner based on current market odds.
2021 March Madness Futures Odds
Projected Final Four: Gonzaga, Baylor, Iowa, Illinois
Projected Championship Matchup: Gonzaga vs Baylor
Projected NCAA Tournament Champions: Gonzaga
| Team | 2019-20 Record | Conference | Scoring Margin | Odds | Change | NCAA Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga | 3-0 | West Coast | 13.3 | +400 | +500 | 9.86% |
| Baylor | 4-0 | Big 12 | 27.0 | +850 | +50 | 5.19% |
| Iowa | 6-0 | Big Ten | 32.0 | +900 | -150 | 4.93% |
| Illinois | 5-2 | Big Ten | 21.3 | +1000 | +400 | 4.48% |
| Villanova | 5-1 | Big East | 10.2 | +1200 | -500 | 3.79% |
| West Virginia | 6-1 | Big 12 | 8.3 | +1600 | None | 2.90% |
| Kansas | 6-1 | Big 12 | 10.5 | +1800 | -600 | 2.59% |
| Michigan State | 6-0 | Big Ten | 12.5 | +1800 | -200 | 2.59% |
| Texas Tech | 6-1 | Big 12 | 23.7 | +1800 | +400 | 2.59% |
| Virginia | 3-1 | ACC | 16.5 | +1800 | -600 | 2.59% |
| Creighton | 4-2 | Big East | 15.2 | +2000 | -200 | 2.35% |
| Tennessee | 3-0 | SEC | 19.7 | +2000 | +200 | 2.35% |
| Texas | 5-1 | Big 12 | 13.2 | +2000 | +4000 | 2.35% |
| Duke | 2-2 | ACC | 2.8 | +2500 | -1100 | 1.90% |
| Florida State | 4-0 | ACC | 13.8 | +2500 | -700 | 1.90% |
| Houston | 4-0 | AAC | 18.8 | +2500 | +1000 | 1.90% |
| Indiana | 4-2 | Big Ten | 13.0 | +2800 | +1200 | 1.70% |
| Kentucky | 1-4 | SEC | 0.6 | +2800 | -1700 | 1.70% |
| North Carolina | 4-2 | ACC | 6.8 | +2800 | -1000 | 1.70% |
| Wisconsin | 5-1 | Big Ten | 17.8 | +2800 | -1200 | 1.70% |
| Ohio State | 5-0 | Big Ten | 16.2 | +3300 | -300 | 1.45% |
| San Diego State | 5-0 | MWC | 12.8 | +3300 | -1300 | 1.45% |
| Arizona State | 4-2 | Pac-12 | 2.8 | +4000 | None | 1.20% |
| Connecticut | 3-0 | AAC | 14.0 | +4000 | +1000 | 1.20% |
| Florida | 3-1 | SEC | 15.2 | +4000 | -1000 | 1.20% |
| LSU | 4-1 | SEC | 23.0 | +4000 | None | 1.20% |
| Michigan | 6-0 | Big Ten | 14.8 | +4000 | -1500 | 1.20% |
| Oregon | 4-1 | Pac-12 | 9.2 | +4000 | -1200 | 1.20% |
| Alabama | 4-2 | SEC | 5.0 | +5000 | New | 0.97% |
| Arizona | 5-0 | Pac-12 | 19.6 | +5000 | None | 0.97% |
| Arkansas | 6-0 | SEC | 33.8 | +5000 | +3000 | 0.97% |
| Louisville | 4-0 | ACC | 19.8 | +5000 | -1700 | 0.97% |
| Richmond | 4-1 | A-10 | 5.8 | +5000 | +3000 | 0.97% |
| St. Louis | 5-0 | A-10 | 27.2 | +5000 | New | 0.97% |
| UCLA | 5-1 | Pac-12 | 12.7 | +5000 | -2000 | 0.97% |
| Maryland | 4-2 | Big Ten | 11.5 | +6600 | -1600 | 0.74% |
| Purdue | 4-2 | Big Ten | 10.0 | +6600 | +1400 | 0.74% |
| Rutgers | 5-0 | Big Ten | 16.4 | +6600 | -600 | 0.74% |
| SMU | 4-0 | AAC | 24.0 | +6600 | +8400 | 0.74% |
| Stanford | 3-2 | Pac-12 | 8.2 | +6600 | -1600 | 0.74% |
| USC | 4-1 | Pac-12 | 16.0 | +6600 | -600 | 0.74% |
| Auburn | 4-2 | SEC | 0.5 | +8000 | -4000 | 0.61% |
| Clemson | 5-1 | ACC | 12.8 | +8000 | New | 0.61% |
| Colorado | 3-1 | Pac-12 | 17.0 | +8000 | +2000 | 0.61% |
| Dayton | 3-1 | A-10 | 2.5 | +8000 | None | 0.61% |
| Memphis | 4-3 | AAC | 11.4 | +8000 | -500 | 0.61% |
| Minnesota | 6-1 | Big Ten | 9.1 | +8000 | +2000 | 0.61% |
| Xavier | 7-0 | Big East | 17.1 | +8000 | New | 0.61% |
| Butler | 1-0 | Big East | 4.0 | +10000 | None | 0.49% |
| BYU | 6-2 | West Coast | 6.3 | +10000 | -2000 | 0.49% |
| Marquette | 5-2 | Big East | 10.1 | +10000 | None | 0.49% |
| Miami FL | 3-1 | ACC | 10.0 | +10000 | -2000 | 0.49% |
| Missouri | 5-0 | SEC | 11.4 | +10000 | New | 0.49% |
| NC State | 3-0 | ACC | 33.3 | +10000 | New | 0.49% |
| Northern Iowa | 1-4 | MVC | -7.2 | +10000 | New | 0.49% |
| Oklahoma | 3-1 | Big 12 | 13.0 | +10000 | None | 0.49% |
| Penn State | 3-2 | Big Ten | 6.8 | +10000 | None | 0.49% |
| Providence | 4-2 | Big East | 4.2 | +10000 | New | 0.49% |
| South Carolina | 1-2 | SEC | -5.0 | +10000 | +5000 | 0.49% |
| Syracuse | 4-1 | ACC | 18.8 | +10000 | +2500 | 0.49% |
| VCU | 6-2 | A-10 | 14.2 | +10000 | +5000 | 0.49% |
| Virginia Tech | 5-1 | ACC | 5.7 | +10000 | +5000 | 0.49% |
| Western Kentucky | 5-2 | C-USA | 2.4 | +10000 | New | 0.49% |
| Boise State | 4-1 | MWC | 9.0 | +12500 | New | 0.39% |
| Cincinnati | 2-2 | AAC | 0.0 | +12500 | +7500 | 0.39% |
| Georgia Tech | 2-3 | ACC | 0.4 | +12500 | +12500 | 0.39% |
| Notre Dame | 2-2 | ACC | -1.5 | +12500 | +12500 | 0.39% |
| Pittsburgh | 4-1 | ACC | 9.4 | +12500 | +12500 | 0.39% |
| Seton Hall | 4-3 | Big East | 6.1 | +12500 | -9200 | 0.39% |
| St. Mary’s CA | 7-1 | West Coast | 10.6 | +12500 | New | 0.39% |
| Temple | 0-0 | AAC | — | +12500 | +12500 | 0.39% |
| UNLV | 1-4 | MWC | -9.2 | +12500 | +2500 | 0.39% |
| Washington | 1-4 | Pac-12 | -6.8 | +12500 | New | 0.39% |
| Wichita State | 2-2 | AAC | -1.0 | +12500 | New | 0.39% |
| Utah | 3-1 | Pac-12 | 5.0 | +15000 | New | 0.33% |
| Utah State | 2-3 | MWC | -8.0 | +15000 | New | 0.33% |
| Georgetown | 3-3 | Big East | 2.3 | +20000 | -5000 | 0.25% |
| Mississippi State | 3-3 | SEC | 3.5 | +20000 | +5000 | 0.25% |
| Rhode Island | 3-4 | A-10 | 2.4 | +20000 | -5000 | 0.25% |
| Davidson | 3-3 | A-10 | 5.2 | +25000 | -10000 | 0.20% |
| DePaul | 0-0 | Big East | — | +25000 | New | 0.20% |
Odds To Win Ncaa College Basketball Championship
Included in the table below are the regular season records for each team last year, their conference, Power Index (average margin of victory last season), current odds, change in the odds since last week’s update, and the normalized implied probability to win the NCAA Tournament based on the current market odds.
We’ve included the probability for each team to win the tournament based on the odds and the field listed (NCAA Tournament column). It is sometimes easier to grasp what the odds are trying to say when thinking in terms of percentage probability versus how much a $100 bet would payout (e.g. +500 means a $100 bet would pay out $500). The change column shows how much the odds have improved or decreased for that team since our last update. If a team is “New” this means they were not listed as of our previous update. Our Power Index is the approximate number of points a team would be favored by on a neutral court against an average college basketball team.
Odds To Win Ncaa College Basketball Championships
Be sure to check out the daily college basketball odds each night of the season to see if there is any value with these teams or others.