Vegas Odds Trump Wall
“Trump has a well-documented history as a tax cheat and for hiding business records,” Johnston said. “This is garden variety tax fraud, a straight-up tax scam that could easily be a felony.
- Vegas is betting on Trump announcing his run for President during his CPAC speech. From Business Insider: Vegas is betting on Former President Donald Trump announcing his 2024 election bid during his highly-anticipated speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Orlando, Florida, on Sunday, according to Fortune.
- Trump entered the night a 2 to 1 underdog. As soon as the polls started to close, and the picture became clear, Trump’s odds quickly moved to even money. Then Trump became the slight favorite. Then a moderate favorite. Then a 2-to-1 favorite. Finally, Trump moved to 8 to 1 favorite.
Oddsmakers at several betting sites were quick to list different types of prop bets and update 2020 election odds after President Donald Trump announced on Monday that he would be addressing the nation in prime time from the Oval Office tonight at 9 p.m. ET.
The topic of his address will be on funding the border wall and the ongoing government shutdown, which began 18 days ago on Dec. 22, 2018.
His speech will be broadcast on the national networks (NBC, ABC, CBS, PBS, and Fox) along with the major cable news networks (CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC).
After Trump’s speech, which is expected to last around ten minutes, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer will share the Democratic rebuttal and will be given equal time by all network to respond to the address.
Below are all the betting lines and odds available for tonight’s speech along with the current 2020 Presidential Odds, which could shift dramatically depending on what the public’s reaction to Trump’s speech is after tonight.
Bookmaker.eu Odds
False Statements Trump Makes During 9pm Address
Will be graded according to the Washington Post Fact Checker
Over 3.5 (-250)
Under 3.5 (+200)
US Government Shutdown Finish On or Before Jan. 18, 2019
Yes (-115 odds)
No (-115 odds)
Will Trump Declare a National Emergency
Yes (+450 odds)
No (-650 odds)
MyBookie Odds
How Long Will Trump’s Speech Last?
Over 8.5 minutes (-120 odds)
Under 8.5 minutes ( -120 odds)
What Color Tie Will Trump Wear?
Red (-400 odds)
Blue (+300 odds)
Striped (+400 odds)
Any Other Color (+700 odds)
Vegas Odds Trump Wall Rally
How Many Times Will Trump Say “Wall?”
Over 7.5 (-120 odds)
Under 7.5 (-120 odds)
How Many Times Will Trump Say “Crisis?”
Over 6.5 (-120 odds)
Under 6.5 (-120 odds)
Will Funding For the Border Wall Be Approved?
Yes (+150 odds)
No (-200 odds)
Who Will Speak First After Trump’s Speech?
Nancy Pelosi (-200 odds)
Chuck Schumer (+150 odds)
How Long Will The Democrat Rebuttal Last?
Over 11.5 minutes (-120 odds)
Under 11.5 minutes (-120 odds)
Bovada Odds
In addition to the prop bets available on tonight’s speech, here are the latest odds from Bovada on whether Trump will be impeached during his first term and who is currently leading the presidential race for 2020.
Will Trump be Impeached by the House in his 1st Term?
Yes (+140 odds)
No (-170 odds)
2020 Presidential Election Odds
Donald Trump (+150 odds)
Beto O’Rourke (+1000 odds)
Kamala Harris (+1000 odds)
Bernie Sanders (+1400 odds)
Joe Biden (+1400 odds)
Elizabeth Warren (+1500 odds)
Cory Booker (+2000 odds)
Mike Pence (+2000 odds)
Kirsten Gillibrand (+3000 odds)
Amy Klobuchar (+3000 odds)
Hillary Clinton (+3000 odds)
Oprah Winfrey (+3000 odds)
Michelle Obama (+3000 odds)
The Rock (+4000 odds)
Michael Avenatti (+4000 odds)
Andrew Cuomo (+5000 odds)
John Kasich (+5000 odds)
Michael Bloomberg (+5000 odds)
Mitch Landrieu (+5000 odds)
Nikki Haley (+5000 odds)
Paul Ryan (+5500 odds)
Will America soon have its first Shawshank President? Will Donald Trump find himself fending off riots in the Attica mess hall? Tweetless and at the mercy of 2,000 “angry Democrat” inmates?
A number of recent developments show that one cannot rule it out. Things took a decidedly serious turn last week when New York prosecutors told a federal judge that there were “public reports of possibly extensive and protracted criminal conduct at the Trump Organization.” They added that they that they may also be investigating possible crimes involving bank and insurance fraud, according to the New York Times, which also reported that Deutsche Bank has been complying with a Manhattan District Attorney’s Office subpoena for months, turning over detailed financial records in connection with some $2 billion the bank has lent Trump.
The news comes on the heels of a Supreme Court ruling last month that declared the president was not immune from state criminal investigations, therefore clearing the way for a New York grand jury to subpoena Trump’s financial records, an effort spearheaded by Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance Jr.
For Trump, the stakes couldn’t be higher once he leaves office: He could go from the White House to the Big House.
So, I asked some experts the likelihood that the president could really wind up in a New York prison. “Absolutely yes, if we are a nation of equal justice and Trump is convicted of serious felonies,” Trump biographer David Cay Johnston told me. But he quickly added, “Whether it happens is entirely unpredictable.”
Vegas Odds Trump Wall Tweet
Still, New York has a real chance at putting Trump behind bars. The state has jurisdiction over most of his properties and operations relating to his 2016 presidential campaign. Crucially, states also are not subject the U.S. Department of Justice’s rule that a sitting president may not be prosecuted for federal crimes. Trump, therefore, is stripped of his four-year kryptonite shield if he is re-elected. A state indictment of a sitting president, though historically unprecedented, is entirely possible. His DOJ-Roy Cohn, Bill Barr, is constitutionally powerless to intervene.
That should make Trump uneasy, especially as New York Attorney General Letitia James ramps up her own investigations. “We will use every area of the law to investigate President Trump and his business transactions and that of his family,” she declared after taking office two years ago.
At the same time, Vance’s subpoena appears to go beyond obtaining financial records relating to alleged pre-election hush money payments to silence two women, Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal. Both of the women claim to have had affairs with Trump. Information gleaned from the DA’s inquiry could expose tax cheating and money laundering as well as bank and insurance fraud, which are felonies.
Vegas Odds Trump Winning 2020
Johnston told me he’s confident that Vance already has Trump’s New York tax filings. Even though the IRS and state tax authorities share tax information on citizens and business entities, it’s unclear whether he also has the president’s federal returns. The DA is seeking Trump’s financial records from his accounting firm Mazars USA in addition to Deutsche Bank—to compare that data with what he already possesses, looking for corroborating information, according to Johnston.
“Trump has a well-documented history as a tax cheat and for hiding business records,” Johnston said. “This is garden variety tax fraud, a straight-up tax scam that could easily be a felony.”
That doesn’t necessarily mean he will go to jail. More often than not, tax cheats get away with heavy fines in lieu of prison sentences, Johnston said. Moreover, Trump, like many very wealthy people, will continue to throw monkey wrenches into the judicial system with appeal after appeal and other rope-a-dope tactics until revenue agencies finally become open to a low-punitive settlement.
This is echoed by Duncan Levin, formerly a senior staff member under District Attorney Vance and an ex-assistant U.S. attorney. Whether the president would actually be sentenced to prison is a political call, Levin said. “Can you imagine an ex-U.S. president actually being sent to prison?” he told me. “It’s inconceivable that Trump didn’t know about the hush money payments. But it’s highly unlikely that he’d be arrested on misdemeanor charges. They would have to be very serious felonies.” False statements to financial institutions would count.
More likely, he added, the DA may be zeroing in at this point on Trump’s inner circle. “Michael Cohen didn’t act alone. He collaborated with people within the Trump organization to cover up the hush payments just before the election,” Levin said. Look, at least initially, for indictments of Trump underlings.
Vegas Odds Trump Election
The good news, though, is that Vance will not put off his investigation and possible indictments until after the November election. DA’s proceed on cases irrespective of extraneous events, including a general election, Levin said.
Vegas Odds Trump Winning
But the hope of many that Trump could finally be held accountable for his crimes may be remote. At most, one can imagine him behind bars at a white-collar correctional facility like that of his former lawyer Michael Cohen, as opposed to hard time at a penitentiary like Attica. For now, though, time will tell. The Americans who want to see justice carried out are more likely to watch this shamed crook-in-chief spending his remaining years out of office consumed in exhausting and financially draining legal battles, fully exposed for the criminal he’s always been.